Road traffic volumes are being forecast to balloon by 50% over the next 25 years from 2010 to 2035.
What a depressing forecast from the Department of Tansport.
This seems beyond a stark contrast with a decade of falling car use – often called beyond ‘peak car’ use.
Partly these predictions are from planned population growth from immigration etc and partly from predictions of people driving more. But at no point has the price of fuel been considered, increased use of the Internet avoiding the need to travel or the fall in the levels of adults holding driving licenses.
It also assumes no step growth in cycling or urban transport in our cities. Effectively a forecast of my idea of hell on the roads.
What possible motivation could a Department of Tansport with a history of being the Department of motor transport have for such obviously wrong forecasts?